Will Brexit make the EU more pro-Russian?
Syrian bear trap for Putin
Ukraine’s anti-corruption bureau is in fact anti-constitutional
Ukraine: Trends of the week Issue N. 9/15 April 27 – May 10, 2015
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Asked if Brexit will make the EU more pro-Russian, international experts with different backgrounds approached by EurActiv.com were not unanimous in their assessment. However, all said that without the UK, the EU will be weaker internationally.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has voluntarily and knowingly drawn Russia into the Syrian conflict. But the war in Syria is not “hybrid,” having a definite religious character (the Sunnis against the Shiites), therefore it can actually drown Putin’s regime no later than in 2017. Ironically, at the moment, Putin is doing everything to speed up his own end.
Despite the high appraisal of the new anti-corruption legislation of Ukraine by international organizations, an in-depth legal analysis shows that it is in fact unconstitutional, write Victor Solovyov and Roman Rukomeda.
Political top trend: Russia provokes a new wave of oligarch’s war in Ukraine by the Firtash case in Vienna The current president/oligarch Poroshenko has made every effort to ensure that the Austrian court refused to extradite the oligarch Dmitry Firtash in the US.
The European and global security has failed after Russia has started the hybrid and then open war against Ukraine in 2014. Now Europe is living in new security reality no matter European capitals and leaders admit it or not. Whole set of international security legislation turned into useless papers after Russian president Putin decided to change global rules of coexistence and international relations. Until the new security system will emerge Europe’s only chance against Russia’s aggression is NATO, US missile-defense shield and Ukrainian army deterring Putin’s soldiers in Eastern Ukrainian regions.
Political top trend: The struggle with corruption in Ukraine turns into imitation President of Ukraine has appointed an unknown 35-year-old lawyer Artem Sytnyk on the leading position of the newly created special anti-corruption body on April 16th. Ukraine's leaders sought to demonstrate to the international community their own anti-corruption activities and the ability of Ukrainian society to pass a test on democracy.
Socio-politic top trend: Ukraine is Moving to Social Explosion Fake government’s reform increase social dissatisfaction of Ukraine’s citizens. One major factor is the growing social tensions because of the tariff policy in the housing and communal infrastructure sector. In the near future the main task for the government will be search for the answer to the question: "How long can Ukrainian state survive if the living wage for people is less than the average amount of payment for utility bills?". Just as another open question: "How long in the absence of reforms Western financial institutions will keep Ukraine from default?".
Constitutional top trend: Change of Constitutional Rules in Ukraine Has Begun The start of constitutional reform launches a major political reformatting of the entire state system of Ukraine and the creation of a new social contract accompanied by the active involvement of external actors in the process, where Russia, EU and the US lobby their own edits and configuration of the new Ukrainian state’s future.